After giving their Champions League ambitions a boost with a 2-0 victory over Borussia Dortmund in midweek, Arsenal will be aiming to get their Premier League campaign back on track when they travel to the Hawthorns to take on West Brom on Saturday.

The Gunners come into this match in eighth place after suffering two consecutive defeats but are 4/5 (1.80) favourites with William Hill to bounce back with a win here.

With just one home win to their name in six league matches this season, Alan Irvine’s men are available at 18/5 (4.60) to pull off a shock victory this time out.

The last two meetings between the sides at this stadium have both finished 1-1, and you can get odds of 16/5 (4.20) on them playing out another draw in this one.

As is so often the case with Arsene Wenger, the victory over Dortmund arrived just as the pressure was reaching a crescendo.

The Frenchman seems to have a knack of pulling results out of the bag just at the right moment, and that win will have given his team some much-needed confidence just when they needed it the most.

Those reinvigorated players should now travel to the Midlands in strong shape to take on a team they can usually rely upon to surrender the points, having beaten them in five of the last seven league encounters, losing none.

Although less high profile than their guests’ struggles, the Baggies have endured a difficult run themselves of late – losing four and winning just one of the last seven matches in all competitions.

Therefore, while this may not be a good to time to play against Arsenal, a West Brom team bereft of confidence should provide fairly amenable opposition at present, with those 4/5 (1.80) odds looking like good value on them extending the visitors’ losing streak to three in a row.

THE HOUSE WINS BECAUSE YOU BET TOO MUCH PER GAME.

You run out of money before you have a chance to let the law of large numbers work for you. They are banking on your lack of discipline. That’s the main reason (not bad picking) that most sports bettors lose and why The House laughs to the bank.

Check out this story as an illustration…
A Tale of Two Sports Bettors

Risky John and Conservative Bob each started the season with $1000 – their bankroll. They both decided to play the same games throughout the season but they couldn’t agree on how much to place on each game. John was more of a risk taker than Bob so John decided to bet about $200 per game (20% of his bankroll). Bob was more conservative and decided to risk about $50 per game (5% of his bankroll). Risky John figured that if he bet more, he could win more. And he was right. In week one, their picks went 4-2. John was up $360 while Conservative Bob only won $90. John was very pleased with himself.

Week 2 produced the exact same result. Risky John now had a $1720 bankroll while Conservative Bob was up to just $1180. John was very happy. He encouraged Bob to bet more but Bob wasn’t so sure about that strategy. What if their luck started to turn? Risky John preferred to think positively. Besides, they were 8-4 and they knew what they were doing! The first two weeks had proved that.

But then came weeks 3 and 4 in which they went 2-4, 1-3. A bad run for sure, but not uncommon during a 16-week season. In fact, losing streaks are inevitable and guaranteed during a season. Conservative Bob lost $235 while Risky John gave back $940. John now had a lower bankroll than Bob! John was now down to $780. Risky John felt the losing couldn’t possibly continue so he stuck with his bet size of $200 per game. The next two weeks they went 2-2 and 1-3.

Guess what? Risky John was now virtually wiped out – down to $280. Bob, meanwhile lost $360 on the terrible four week run but still had $820 left over. One of them was virtually out of money, the other had over 80% of his original bankroll left.

What happened next? Well, John quit. And, the unfortunate four-week run was followed by a great 3-week run where Conservative Bob went 10-3 and another 8 weeks of hitting a very respectable 56% on average. Bob ended up the season at over $1300 – an increase of 30% on his initial bankroll.

The morale of this story is obvious but very few sports bettors practice it. Don’t overextend yourself:
Wunderdog’s Law of Sports Betting: Don’t bet too big for your bankroll!

It is very tempting to put down a lot on each game, especially when you are winning. It is relatively boring to put down a little. But, you need to work within your bankroll, whatever that is. There will be bad streaks and good streaks in sports betting. It is inevitable if you do it for any extended period of time. Do yourself the favor of allowing yourself to “stay in the game.” Don’t miss out on that late-season run of luck because you are out of the game too early.

If your bankroll (amount you have set aside to bet with) is $10,000 and your average bet is more than $300, you are betting too much. If you have $1,000 to bet with and your average bet size is $30, you are betting too much. If your bankroll is $500 and you bet more than $15 per game, you are betting too much.

The silver lining in all of this is that YOU CONTROL THE SINGLE BIGGEST IMPEDIMENT TO LOSING. Let me say that again – regardless of how you pick games or whether someone helps you, you have the ability to erase the single biggest reason you may lose. All you need to do is practice safe money management.
So, how much you should you lay per game?

It depends, of course, on your bankroll (how much you are willing and able to lose over the course of the season). But there is a simple rule that applies regardless of whether you are a ten-dollar per game bettor or a one-thousand-dollar per game bettor: Bet around 1-2% of your bankroll on average and don’t ever bet more than 3-4% of your bankroll on any given game on which you have even or close to even odds. On rare occassions where you are sure your chance of winning the game is extremely high (i.e. moneyline favorites), a higher % of bankroll is very occassionally warranted. But, for most bets in which you have even odds, 3-4% is your upper max, and your average needs to stay around 1-2%. There are no locks. Let me repeat that – there is no such thing as a sure thing. Any bet can lose. Losing streaks can and do happen. Even in a season where you hit 60% overall, you’ll have weeks where you hit 40%. It’s an absolute certainty.

Can you make money with this strategy? Absolutely. In fact, its required to make money. Without this strategy, you will consistently lose regardless of how well you pick games. If you hit 54-58% (what you should expect), you will lose a lot of money (and maybe even deplete your entire bakroll) if you are betting more than 2% (on average) of your bankroll per game!

If you are winning and on a great roll, your bets can increase and you can win even more. How? You can simply use a percentage of your remaining bankroll. As your bankroll increases, your bet size increases. As your bankroll decreases, your bets decrease. A nice side benefit of this is that, by definition, you can never get wiped out. It is mathematically impossible to lose your entire bankroll if you are always betting a small percentage of it.

The bottom line: Remember, bet around 1-2% of your bankroll on average per game. If you aren’t as sure on a game, drop it to 0.5% and if you feel very good about a game, take it up to 3%. For those rare games that you absolutely love, you might go a tad higher but never risk more than 3-4% under any circumstances.

I rate my picks as 0.5 to 2.5 units and I recommend you risk the following:

• 0.5 unit – 0.5% of bankrol
• 1 unit – 1% of bankroll
• 1.5 units – 1.5% of bankroll
• 2 units – 2% of bankroll
• 2.5 units – 2.5% of bankroll

So, you are always risking between 1% and 3% of your bankroll, and about 1.5% on average.

Still not convinced that betting a small % of your bankroll is the way to go? Then please read my article on what winning feels like.

How much can you expect to win using my picks? Check out what you can expect.

Оnline poker

Christmas is coming with a surprise gift, for everyone evolved in web gambling business. In short, the gift has its origin in an interpretative note released yesterday by the Department of Justice, which in a few lines authorizes individual states to sell lottery tickets and even online games across the country. This mean the states are no longer limited within their own boundaries.

In fact, in the event that a court of the 50 U.S., approve, or has already given the go to online poker, well in this case would be automatically authorized, or nearly so, the operator of an Internet poker to widen its circulation extending across the border without geographical limits. A real gift, even if it requires precise explanations, details are not only of interpretation, but practical too.

And the IRS is preparing to collect precious extra proceeds. A gift, the more observers argue, not only for the entrepreneurs of the sector, rather than to the Governors of the individual U.S. states. They wer struggling for three years with the accounts that do not add up and with the red of their deficits that now feeds a huge debt. It is a gift for the Federal too, which until a few weeks ago seemed like a Moloch accounting unattainable and not subject to competition.

In short, looking at the matter in details, considering the volume of business the web gambling around $30 billion, this would lead to the redistribution of the United States at least a 10, a 15% extra tax to be divided equally between the states.

There is already talk of new resources ranging between 3 and even 6 billion dollars. But experts warn that the industry of online bookies actually hides part of their volumes, winnings and revenue that could be touching the peak of $ 100 billion.

Horse race in Germany are not using the resonance, just like in the UK. None of the major TV station transmits the race, there are few podcasts or radio shows around the German race and during the festival in the UK and regularly attracts celebrities. Events in England usually include a huge program around the Race Course with theme days, fashion events, etc., the German events have since created a little smaller.

Nevertheless, in Germany we have a few tracks, almost 50 in number, with the biggest are in Baden Baden, Bremen, Dortmund, Frankfurt, Hamburg, Berlin, Cologne, Krefeld, Mülheim van der Ruhr and Munich. Nevertheless, they are unfortunately not as busy as the racecourses in the UK. Munich offers 19 days, Mülheim an 8 and Berlin in about 10 days in the season action around the race.

Horse Racing Munich

Bavarian breeding race or the Great Dallmayr price is a Group 1 race, which for the € 155,000 prize money attracts
many of the best horses in Germany for this two-day event in Munich (Riem). Dallmayr is the Great flanked by two other prize, sponsored by Dallmayr races that are designed exactly like the great price for Stayr. Even the Bavarian Classic, a Group 3 race will be held here.

More information about horse racing in Munich Hamburg horse racing: Here in July, the Group 1 races, the “German Derby” held over a distance of 2400 meters. Introduced in 1869 and named after the Espon Derby in the UK, it is one of the classic races in Germany. Even the Hansa price, a Group 2 race, and 4 Group 3 races (Hamburger Meile, FärhöferStutenpreis, Hamburger mare Price and the Flyers Trophy) held here.

More information about horse racing in Hamburg-Horn Horse Racing Cologne: Equal 2 group found 1 race here instead – The Rhineland Cup and the Prix Europa. The European Grand Prix held each year in late September and will take place as the Rhineland Cup run in August over 2400 meters. Both races do not exist so long, they have been introduced in the fifties or sixties.

Cologne also equal to 4 group 2 race of the season – the Gerling price, the flour-toil-race, the race and the Union ” Great Europe mile “that share an event with the partial group 1 races.

The range is from 4 Group 3 races. More information about horseracing in Cologne horse racing Baden Baden: Baden Baden is an international racing circuit a high reputation, which manifests itself among others in 9 Group 3 races, 3 Group 2 races and a Group 1 race. The Group 1 race, the Grosser Preis von Baden, which will be held in September, more than 2,400 meters and is approved for 3Yo +.

The Group 2 race are GP Badische Company, Golden Whip, Oettingen races that take place in May / June and August / September. More information about horse racing in Baden Baden horse racing Dusseldorf: There still is one more Group 1 races, the price of Diana in August in Dusseldorf and the Group 2 race Grafenberger Mile Trophy and the German 1,000. In more information on horse racing Dusseldorf.

Referee’s mistakes and all the problems with their judgments so far in the tournament are putting a strain on the World Cup South Africa 2010. With so many referees who have been sent home and can not therefore whistle of the final match.

In recent days, the Uruguayan referee Larrionda were ousted after Germany – England match and the Italian Rosatti, who was on the match between Argentina and Mexico. Both were guilty of not having given goals that were really clear, as well as Busacca, the Swiss referee of South Africa – Uruguay.

Now, with just a few names in the list in the board of referees for the upcoming matches: the favorite to whistle the final on July 11, which will award the World Cup is now Howard Webb, the odds for who went from 2.60 to 2.25, after the ouster of Rosatti and Busacca, two strong candidates for the final. Afterwards, the Belgian De Bleekere (4.20), the Mexican Archundia (5.90) and the Uzbek Irmatov (9.00).

Betting World Cup Soccer South Africa 2010:

Updated odds for winning according to Bet365? After the second round of the World Cup South Africa 2010 and the elimination of England yesterday by Germany we see then to what extent is now the board quotas for who will win the Cup and how they changed during the World Cup.

Update shares after defeat Italy – June 25, 2010:

We have already seen how the odds had changed after the exit of Italy, now the lowest chances for the final victory are Slovakia with odds of 200, Japan 80, and then Chile and Paraguay with 40.

The bookies favorite is Brazil, which plays today against Chile and it seems the team with the best form of the whole tournament, followed by Argentina, which yesterday qualified to the quarterfinals and Spain, which will meet Portugal in the second round, respectively with odds 4, 4.50 and 5.50.

Who will win?